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Writen
by Marc Montagne, Aerospatiale, it is an excerpt from a paper given at the
48th International Astronautical Congress, Turin, October 1997.

The technical challenge of KEO project is to guarantee the reentry, the recovery and the information delivery after a duration of about 50,000 years. The first step is a technical analysis to study the feasibility of the project with state-of-the-art technologies.
The
life cycle of "KEO, the Archeological Bird of the Future" project presents
5 phases with each specific problems to analyze :
The
first part of feasibility study focuses on the two main points, the definition
of the starting orbit and the KEO probe design structure, coupled with the
mission duration analysis. Main
specifications were defined as follows: Payload
: 80 Compact-Discs, 1 decoding procedure (volume equivalent to 10 CD),
1 diamond, 1 dating system, 1 glass plate (figure 1 : payload configuration
- diameter about 200 mm) A
first quick technical loop indicated that the more robust shape for the probe
is the sphere due to its insensibility to impact and flux direction. The analysis
of the wings feasibility showed that the realization with state-of-the-art
deployment systems for satellite presents low problem. II-
Starting orbit choice The
choice of the orbit is a compromise between different parameters:
To
minimize radiation problems we need to be under Van Allen belts (under 2000
km of altitude and 60° of inclination). The debris concentration is at its
maximum at low altitude and in geosynchroneous orbit but there are some hollow
regions between 1000 and 1500 km. III- Probe preliminary
design
To
define a preliminary design of the probe structure we needed to study the
protections against radiation, micro meteorites and debris, reentry flux and
ground impact.
III-1 Radiation hardening The
total dose during 10 years at 1400 km of altitude is 80 Mrad behind 20 mm
of aluminum (see figure 4). We supposed this value constant during the entire
mission. Neglecting the bremsstrahlung effect and taking into account the
ionization effect, the hardening capacity of material is proportional to its
density. So the material with higher density leads to smaller thickness. To
minimize KEO mass and diameter, to minimize reentry heat shield thickness,
we selected a shield of 3mm of tungsten. The payload behind such a shield
is exposed to 8 10E9 rad. (The radiate test on the CD is in progress) III-2
micro meteorites and debris III-2-1
micro meteorite flux and velocity IV-
Conclusion of the technical study The
realization of the KEO probe seems to be realistic with state-of-the-art technologies,
and preliminary design leads to a probe of 80 and 120 kg in mass and of about
700mm in diameter. The estimated duration of the ballistic flight is about
50,000 years.
I- General analysis
ballistic phase : choice of the starting orbit and impact of radiation,
micro meteorites and space debris on the KEO payload integrity structure.
atmosphere reentry : definition of heat shield system
impact : structure integrity, buoyancy
information delivery : procedure to decode the message
Probe mass and volume : target V = 600*600*800 mm, M = 80 kg
Impact velocity : no more that 100 m/s
No active systems
A first list of materials for the probe structure, based on their aging capability,
was defined and we selected metal and ceramic material to have best potential
versus project goals.
the capability of the structure to sustain radiation, micro meteorite
and debris impacts.
launch possibilities
To initiate study of parameters, we selected a circular orbit (1400, 52°)
that would limit the radiation effect and that is often selected for satellite
constellations (launch access).
The duration of the mission will depend on altitude injection, orbit eccentricity,
mass and surface of the object.(see figure 3). Therefore we needed a first
design of the object to estimate the total duration of ballistic flight. We
supposed that the wings would come off after a decade and these effects were
neglected for calculation.
The table figure 5 shows the number of impact and the probability of impact
versus micro meteorites diameter for 50,000 years of flight and a probe diameter
of 500mm. We noted a large number of impact of small particles and a very
low probability of one impact with a large particle (D>1cm). The average
velocity is taken to 20 km/s.
III-2-2 debris flux and velocity
If we extrapolate the classical model of flux (increase of 5% per year for
new debris, increase of 2 or 4% by impact), the number of impact with large
debris (>1cm) would too important to give a chance to KEO to survive. This
project emphasizes the catastrophic impact of debris increase for safety in
space.
To go ahead and analyze this impact, two hypotheses have been made : no new
debris in space beyond 2101, and beyond 2051. Figure 6 and 7 present the flux
of debris and probability of impact versus these two hypotheses.
We realize that only the second hypothesis is reasonable to have a chance
to built a shield that could protect the probe. So if we continue to increase
the number of debris so quickly beyond 2051 the chance of KEO success is very
low.
The average velocity of debris is taken to 10 km/s (for 14 km/s max.)
III-2-3 shield design
A parametric study lead to select a multi-shock shield with a minimum of three
bumpers (aluminum and nextel/kevlar tissues- thickness 2mm) and an internal
skin (aluminum or titanium- 10mm). The total thickness of the shield is about
100 mm. This conception is based on COF MDPS experience.
It's a preliminary design that needs to be improved through a more precise
study on probability of impact versus probe diameter, and material behaviour
study versus multiple impacts and aging.
III-3 reentry shield
A parametric study of trajectory was made for several KEO configurations (mass
and diameter). We obtained: from 70 to 150 m/s2 for the maximum deceleration,
50 to 135 m/s for ground impact velocity, and 5 to 15 mn for reentry duration.
The maximum heat flux ranges from 1 to 3.5 MW/m2. These values are classical
in reentry vehicle design and don't present any specific problem.
III-3-1 heat shield design
The limit temperature for the payload was fixed at 250°C.
First computations showed that the debris shield was blown out at high altitude
(between 120 and 100 km).
The concept selected (see figure 8) for the heat shield is a multiple skin
based on carbon/carbon material in the front (absorb the flux with ablation
until the altitude of maximum of flux-thickness 10mm), tungsten material (radiate
shield + reentry material- thickness 3mm), two type of insulating material
(based on carbon foam with different density- total thickness of insulated
materials 130mm) and finally a structure with titanium material (thickness
3mm)
III-4 Ground impact study
No specific study has been made but we selected a compact architecture and
material (titanium and foam) that have been qualified to more than 100g ground
impact.
III-4-1 Mass and volume
With concepts define thereunder, the total mass of KEO is 178 kg, the diameter
is 770mm.That leads to a duration of ballistic flight of 57000 years and a
final density of the object on the ground is 0.852. Therefore the buoyancy
is acquired.
This concept seems to be robust but is far from target mass of 80 kg.
So several configurations are under study to optimize KEO's mass.
• off-centering of the gravity center (see figure 9)
This configuration leads to off-centering the center of gravity to create
a rotation and a stabilization of the KEO which presents a defined side to
the reentry heat flux. That allows an optimization of insulated material thickness
and a decrease in mass and in diameter of the probe. We estimated a reduction
of 75kg for the mass and 70mm for the diameter.
• splitting of tungsten shield
We can optimize the tungsten shield by keeping the minimum for reentry shield
(1mm) and the remainder would be just around the payload. The mass reduction
obtained is of about 20kg.
• increase of temperature limit of the payload
The increase of limit temperature of the payload from 250 to 350&Mac176;C
(that is the continuous limit temperature of the CD) permits a mass reduction
of 50kg.
Therefore the potential of mass reduction is about 80 kg versus robust solution
and the target of 80kg isn't impossible to realize. For diameter the limit
seems to be about 700mm. With these design and the starting orbit near 1400km
of altitude a duration of 50,000 years is a most probable case.
The main problem remains debris impact because an increase of debris number
beyond 2051 would be a problem for the safety of the probe. In this case the
possibility to inject KEO on a higher altitude orbit (around 1800 km) could
be a back-up solution. A great effort must be done during probe development
to test current concepts of shield versus multiple impacts and aging.
The other aspects, reentry impact, buoyancy, seem to be feasible based on
AEROSPATIALE state-of-the-art know-how on reentry vehicle.